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BITCOIN (BTC/USD]
22:01 02.01.2018
Cryptocurrency continues to move in a lateral range around the 200-hour moving average and continues to be further depressed by the bearish price action, given that there are no new higher-level patterns across the board. The Parabolic SAR continues to favor an upward recovery in the short term, although it may be invalidated by a different price action.
The 11.588 support remains active and we may see rebounds around that area. The fundamental news continues to be the main catalyst for price movements in Bitcoin, as it is an asset that is very susceptible to the headlines that appear in the press regarding the regulation of the BTC in the global financial markets or the uncertainties generated by the geopolitical tensions.
What do we expect?
According to our projections in the H1 chart, the BTC/USD pair keeps pointing to levels below the important psychological barrier of 10,000 in the short term. Once the Bitcoin breaks below 10.680, we could point to the pair falling to the Fibonacci level of -23.6% at 8.507. The RSI remains in positive territory, favoring recoveries in the short term.
USD/CHF
22:04 02.01.2018
USD/CHF remains weak across the board and stays strong with a bearish consolidation below the 200 SMA at H1 chart. The 50 SMA is also helping to guide further declines in the pair, but we’re now expecting a strong support to be found in the 0.9700 level. Such level should help to activate take profit orders that would allow a corrective move towards the 50% Fibo level at 0.9807. If the pair manages to pull back around that area, the next target should be the -23.6% zone at 0.9648.
RSI indicator remains strong in the oversold territory.
The main trend is still bullish, so we should keep an eye on the nearest resistance at 1.3595 - 1.3618 as the next intraday target. If a pullback from this area happens little later on, there'll be a moment to have a decline towards the closest support at 1.3419 - 1.3465.
The 55 Moving Average has acted as support, so there's a "Triple Bottom" pattern. In this case, bulls are likely going to test the next resistance at 1.3595 - 1.3612. Meanwhile, if a pullback from this area is on the table, bears will probably try to achieve the nearest support at 1.3537 - 1.3519.
Bulls faced with resistance at 1.2091, so the price is consolidating. Nevertheless, the pair is likely going to continue moving up towards the next resistance at 1.2080 - 1.2129. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a bearish correction in the direction of the nearest support at 1.2003 - 1.1975.
The price is consolidating above the Moving Averages. The main intraday target is the closest resistance area at 1.2080 - 1.2129. These levels could be a departure point for a decline towards the nearest support at 1.2003.
Buy — 1.2040; SL — 1.2020; TP1 — 1.2160; TP2 — 1.2230
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; a market is overbought.
EUR/USD: "THREE METHODS" ACTED AS SUPPORT
12:55 05.01.2018
The last "Three Methods" pattern acted as support, so the price is consolidating. It's likely that the market is going to continue moving up until any bearish pattern arrives.
There's a "Piercing Line", which has been formed on the 34 Moving Average. However, confirmation of this pattern is a quite weak. Therefore, the pair is likely going to test the 55 MA, which could be a departure point for another upward price movement.
There's a bullish "Three Methods" pattern, which pushed the price higher. Considering that there's no any reversal pattern so far, the market is likely going to test the upper "Window" in the short term.
We've got a "Shooting Star", which hasn't been confirmed yet. So, there's an opportunity to have a downward correction in the coming hours. Nevertheless, bulls are likely going to reach the upper "Window" afterwards.
All focuses are now placed on the Bitcoin bulls, as the asset has been moving in an uptrend from the lows of December 30 and according to the graph H1, cryptocurrency is consolidating above the 200-hour moving average. In the short term, the BTC/USD pair finds resistance at the 17.161.30 level and this helps curb the gains.
In the latest news concerning cryptocurrency, according to the coindesk.com website, the Visa debit card provider is deleting these cards in the European continent, in addition to being told to stop providing services related to Bitcoin. In addition, the Indian stock exchange is looking for answers about the tax responsibilities of operating Bitcoin in the country.
Despite this news, the BTC continues to move in a bullish tone, although it is currently consolidating below the 50-hour moving average, after having formed a double top around the aforementioned resistance. It is necessary to remember that cryptocurrency has made a successful rebound on the 200-hour moving average.
What do we expect?
According to our forecasts in the short term, based on the H1 chart, the Bitcoin is following a bearish tone guided by the Parabolic SAR, which remains in favor of the path of the bears. There are still chances that the cryptocurrency will resume the bearish bias and will test the lows of December 30. However, if the bulls gain momentum in the next few hours, the next target would be at the Fibonacci level of 78.6% at 17,916.70.
EUR/USD
23:16 07.01.2018
Bulls are still strong across the board in the EUR/USD pair, consolidating gains above the 1.2000 milestone. So far, there is a corrective move in place that points to break the Fibonacci level of 23.6% at 1.2015, which should give up in order to plummet towards a demand zone established between the 1.1931 and 1.1884 level. Around that area, the next path to follow would be the bullish one, which should target the -23.6% Fibo zone at 1.2163.
On the daily NZD/USD chart, buyers managed to return the pair to the long-term uptrend channel. This creates grounds for the bullish trend’s resumption. In addition, reaching of 88.6% target increases the risks of the transformation of the “Shark” pattern into 5-0.
On H1, bulls took the initiative after NZD/USD formed a “Triangle”. A decline below the previous consolidation range of 0.7075-0.7125 will create grounds for a deep correction.
