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AUD/JPY is looking to consolidate its losses across the board below the 200 SMA at H1 chart. Currently, it remains supported by the 84.45 level, at which we’re expecting to make a correction that drives the pair to test the Fibonacci zone of 50% at 86.03. Around that area, the pair could find offers in order to resume the bearish bias and reaches the Fibo target of -23.6% at 83.70.
RSI indicator is close to test the 50 level, strengthening the idea of sideways moves.
Sell — 1.1960; SL — 1.1980; TP1 — 1.1920; TP2 – 1.1880
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising Tenkan-sen; the prices are made a new monthly high, but the market is overbought.
Buy — 110.90; SL — 110.70; TP1 — 111.50; TP2 — 111.80.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but rising Tenkan-sen; the market is oversold and supported by 111.00.
On the daily chart, bulls managed to lead the pair outside of the descending channel. If they manage to bring the NZD above 0.6907, the risks of a “Shark” pattern will increase. Its 88.6% target lies at 0.7165.
On H1, NZD/USD is retesting the “Head and shoulders” neckline. Recoil from resistance will allow bears to pull the kiwi down to 88.6% and 113% targets of the “Shark” pattern. On the other hand, successful test of resistance at 0.6895 will increase the risks of more upside.
The price has been rising since a pullback from 4/8 MM Level happened. So, there's an opportunity to have an extension in wave [iii]. However, it's likely to have a local downward correction, so we should keep an eye on 6/8 MM Level as an intraday target.
The current upward impulse is ready to end, which means we could have wave (ii) in the coming hours. The main bearish target is 6/8 MM Level, which could be a departure point for another bullish rally.
On the daily chart, AUD/USD bulls managed to keep the pair inside the long-term uptrend channel. A break of the upper border of the medium-term descending channel with the following successful test of resistance at 0.7637 will increase the risks of correction to the medium-term bearish trend.
On H1, AUD/USD formed a “Dragon” pattern. A successful test of resistance at 0.7636-0.7639 will finish the formation of “Dragon’s head” and will be a signal for opening long positions.
Buy — 1.3340; SL — 1.3320; TP1 — 1.3400; TP2 — 1.3480.
Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, rising Tenkan-sen; the market corrected into the channel of Tenkan-Kijun and will supported by Kijun-sen.
Sell — 0.7590; SL — 0.7610; TP1 — 0.7530; TP2 — 0.7500.
Reason: narrow bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the prices tested the Cloud’s upper border and can’t breakout it to positive area.
On the daily chart, XAU/USD bulls managed to lead the pair out of the upper border of the consolidation range between $1266 and $1288 an ounce. In order to count for the uptrend’s resumption, buyers need a successful test of $1300-1302.
On H1, the exit out of the 1266-1305 consolidation range will likely lead either to the formation of the “Bat” pattern with a target at 88.6% or the resumption in the medium-term downtrend.
On the daily chart, USD/CAD formed a triangle. A break of its lower border will trigger the “Bat” pattern with the target at 88.6%. On the other hand, if the pair gets above the upper border, bulls will regain hope for getting to 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern.
On H1, USD/CAD keeps forming the “Spike and ledge”. A successful test of the lower border of 1.2675-1.2830 range will increase the risks of reaching 161.8% target of AB=CD. A break of resistance at 1.2830 will encourage the uptrend’s resumption.
