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On the daily chart, the “Shark” pattern is transforming into 5-0. Pullbacks towards 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% of the wave CD are usually used for buying.
On H1, a break below support at 0.8905-0.8915 will trigger the senior “Shark” pattern with targets at 61.8%, 78.6%, and 88.6%. Risks of the uptrend’s resumption will strengthen in case of a successful test of resistance at 0.9020 (88.6% of the wave CD of the junior “Shark” pattern).
Technical levels: support – 1.3270; resistance – 1.3340.
Trade recommendations:
Sell — 1.3340; SL — 1.3360; TP1 — 1.3270; TP2 — 1.3240.
Reason: narrowing bearish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are going to Senkou Span B after supported by Kijun-sen.
AUD/USD: AUSSIE ENTERED INTO CLOUD
07:38 13.10.2017
Technical levels: support – 0.7800; resistance – 0.7850, 0.7880.
Trade recommendations:
Sell — 0.7850; SL — 0.7870; TP1 — 0.7800; TP2 — 0.7780.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising Tenkan-sen; the prices are entered into the Cloud and will test the highs of a last week.
The price is consolidating between the levels 1.1892 - 1.1822. It's likely that bulls are going to reach the nearest resistance at 1.1892 in the short term. If a pullback from this level happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the closest support at 1.1822 - 1.1793.
The 34 Moving Average has acted as support, so the price is consolidating. In this case, bears are likely going to test the 55 Moving Average soon. However, if we have a pullback from this line, bulls will probably try to reach another resistance at 1.1879 - 1.1889.
Bulls faced with resistance at 1.3290, but the market is likely going to continue moving up, so we should keep an eye on the next resistance at 1.3290 - 1.3342 as an intraday target. If we have a pullback from this area, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the nearest support at 1.3221 - 1.3182.
We've got a "Thorn" pattern, so the price is consolidating. Therefore, the market is likely going to reach the nearest support at 1.3256 - 1.3221 during the day. At the same time, if we have a pullback from these levels, bulls will probably try to test the next resistance at 1.3290 - 1.3343.
EUR/USD: BULLS GOING TO DELIVER WAVE [III]
10:26 13.10.2017
There's a zigzag in wave 4, so an upward impulse in wave [i] has been formed. In this case, we could have a correction, which could be wave [ii]. Nevertheless, bulls are likely going to deliver wave [iii] afterwards.
Wave (v) of [i] may have been ended, cause there's a pullback from 5/8 MM Level. Wave [ii] is likely going to take the form of a zigzag, so we should keep an eye on 2/8 MM Level, which could be a departure point for wave (i) of [iii].
NZD/USD: BEARS ARE IN THE FORTRESS
07:05 16.10.2017
Recommendation: SELL 0.7145 SL 0.72 TP 0.698
On the daily chart, NZD/USD formed AB=CD pattern with a target at 127.2%. The pair failed to reach 78.6% of the Gartley pattern. This gives bears hope for a resumption of the downtrend. Their main task is not to let bears get above 0.7190 and 0.7780.
On H1, further dynamics of the pair will depend on bears’ ability to return the pair below support at 0.7145. If they manage to do this, chances for a resumption of the downtrend will increase.
Technical levels: support – 0.7860; resistance – 0.7915, 0.7955
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 0.7880; SL — 0.7860; TP1 — 0.7915; TP2 — 0.7955.
Reason: narrowing bearish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, rising Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are on the strong support, but the market is overbought.
USD/JPY: DOLLAR WILL TEST SSB’S SUPPORT
07:49 16.10.2017
Technical levels: support – 111.50; resistance – 112.40.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 111.50; SL — 111.30; TP1 — 112.40; TP2 — 112.80.
Reason: narrow bearish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with horizontal Tenkan-sen; the prices are falling down to the support of lower border of the Cloud.
On the daily chart, the inability of bears to pull the prices below 0?7727 pointed at their weakness. Bulls counterattacked and count on the inverted “Shark” pattern. To begin with, they need to hold above 0.7872.
On H1, AUD/USD formed a “widening wedge”. Pullbacks towards 23.6%, 38.2% and 50% of the wave 4-5 are usually used for buying. A decline below support levels at 78.6% and 88.6% may represent good selling opportunities.
