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On the daily chart, bulls showed their strength as they managed to lead the pair outside of the long-term descending trend channel. Before that, the pair returned inside the medium-term uptrend channel. If buyers manage to keep the USD above 110.52, the odds of continuation towards 88.6% target of the Shark pattern will significantly increase.
On H1, USD/JPY formed a “Widening wedge” pattern. Pullbacks towards 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50% are usually used for opening longs.
The pair faced support at 1.1864, so the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance area at 1.1909 - 1.1925 in the short term. However, if a pullback from this area happens, we could have another decline in the direction of the next support at 1.1850 - 1.1822.
Bears found support at 1.1874 - 1.1864, so the price is rising. The main intraday target is the closest resistance at 1.1907 - 1.1925. Meanwhile, if we have a pullback from these levels, bears will probably try to reach the nearest support at 1.1851 - 1.1822.
We've got a "V-Top" pattern, which pushed the price to support at 1.3190. Therefore, the market is likely going to reach the nearest resistance at 1.3129 - 1.3249. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the next support at 1.3190 - 1.3159.
The 55 Moving Average has acted as support, so the price is consolidating. In this case, bulls are likely going to test the closest resistance at 1.3227 - 1.3249. However, if we see a pullback from this area, bears will probably try to achieve another support at 1.3186 - 1.3159.
USD/JPY: "WINDOW" ACTING AS SUPPORT
10:54 14.09.2017
The last "Window" has been broken, but the price is consolidating. Also, we've got bearish patterns such a "Harami" and a "Doji", but both of them haven't been confirmed enough. So, the 144 Moving Average is likely going to act as support.
We've got a bearish "Engulfing" at the last high, but this pattern hasn't been confirmed, cause the lower "Window" is acting as support. So, the price is likely going to test the nearest support level, which could be a departure point for another bullish rally.
EUR/USD: "HAMMER" ON THE LOWER "WINDOW"
11:01 14.09.2017
We've got a bullish "Tower", which has been confirmed. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance. If a pullback from this level happens, we could have just another decline.
There's a bullish "Hammer" on the lower "Window". Considering confirmation of this pattern, the price is likely going to test the Moving Averages in the short term.
EUR/USD: WAVE 4 TURNED OUT TO BE BIGGER
11:20 14.09.2017
We've got a new local low, so wave 4 turned out to be bigger. Previously, an ending diagonal pattern has been formed in wave [v] of 3. So, there's an opportunity to have just another bullish impulse in wave 5. The main intraday target is 8/8 MM Level.
1/8 MM Level has acted as support, so wave 4 may have been formed like a zigzag. In this case, bulls are likely going to deliver an upward impulse in wave [i]. If a pullback from 4/8 MM Level happens a little later on, we could have a local bearish correction.
On the daily chart, EUR/USD reached targets of “Three Indians”. If bulls fail to keep the pair above 1.1910, the odds of decline towards the lower border of the long-term uptrend channel and 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern will increase.
On H1, a break below support at 1.1825 will create a ground for reaching 88.6% target of the “Shark” pattern. On the other hand, successful test of resistance at 1.1925 and the quote’s leaving the uptrend channel will be a signal of the new bullish attack.
EUR/GBP: BEARS ORGANIZED A REVERSAL
08:20 15.09.2017
Recommendation:
BUY 0.899
SL 0.8935
TP 0.907 TP2 0.92 TP3 0.93
On the daily chart, EUR/GBP formed “Spike and reversal with acceleration” pattern. A break of trendlines allowed bears to develop a correction towards 0.8765-0.8810. In that area, there’s a target of the “Shark” pattern and 50% level of the last long-term bullish wave.
On H1, EUR/GBP reached 261.8% target of AB=CD, that increases the risks of a pullback. At the same time, resistance at 0.8980-0.8985 looks very serious. Only in case of its successful test, bulls will get hope for the resumption of the long-term uptrend.
Technical levels: support – 1.1880; resistance – 1.1970, 1.2000.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.1920; SL — 1.1900; TP1 — 1.1970; TP2 – 1.200.
Reason: narrow bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the prices are found the support of Senkou Span B and the Bulls may go to upper bounds of the Cloud.
AUD/USD: AUSSIE CONTINUED CONSOLIDATION IN CLOUD
08:24 15.09.2017
Technical levels: support – 0.7965, 0.7985; resistance – 0.8040, 0.8070.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 0.8000; SL — 0.7980; TP1 — 0.8040; TP3 — 0.8070.
Reason: narrowing bullish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the market supported by Senkou Span B.