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On the daily chart, the second attempt of bulls to return the quotes inside the previous medium-term bullish channel failed. If bears manage to let gold outside the short-term bullish channel and then pull the price below support at $1250 an ounce, the odds of reaching 88.6% target of the Shark pattern will strengthen.
On H1, bears still have a chance of the “Widening wedge” pattern. For that, there’s the need of successful test of support at $1267 and $1252.
On the daily chart, bulls are trying to develop their advantage and conquer resistance at 1.2737-1.2765. If they succeed, the odds of correction towards 1.2925-1.2939 will increase. To resume the downtrend, bears need to lead the pair outside of the bullish trend channel and then overcome support at 1.2650.
On H1, USD/CAD formed the “Dragon” pattern. A successful test of resistance at 1.2770 will strengthen the risks of a pullback to 1.2870 and 1.2940.
We've got a "Triple Top", so the price is declining, but bears faced support at 1.1683. Anyway, the market is likely going to test the 89 Moving Average soon. If a pullback from this line happens, we could have an upward price movement towards the nearest resistance at 1.1757 - 1.1801.
There's a "V-Bottom", so we've got a consolidation, which is taking place under resistance at 1.1748. However, the market is likely going to reach another support at 1.1670 - 1.1649 in the short term. If we have a pullback from this area, bulls will probably try to achieve the nearest resistance at 1.1757 - 1.1767.
GBP/USD: ANOTHER BEARISH "PENNANT"
11:46 16.08.2017
The last "Flag" has been broken, so price plunged. It seems like bears are ready to move on, so we should keep an eye on the next support at 1.2830 - 1.2811 as an intraday target. Meanwhile, if a pullback from these levels happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards resistance at 1.2853 - 1.2892.
There's a "Pennant" pattern, so the pair is likely going to reach the closest support at 1.2830 - 1.2811 during the day. If we have a pullback from this area, bulls will have a green light to deliver an upward correction.
There's a bullish "Harami", but this pattern hasn't been confirmed yet. So, the price is likely going to test the 89 Moving Average. If any bullish pattern forms on this line, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward correction.
The 34 & 144 Moving Averages acted as resistance, so there's a bearish "Doji", which has been confirmed. So, the market is likely going to continue moving down towards the next support level.
USD/JPY: PRICE REACHED 89 MOVING AVERAGE
14:56 16.08.2017
The price has reached the 89 Moving Average, but there isn't any reversal pattern so far. We could have a local bearish correction, but the pair is likely going to climb even higher afterwards.
We've got a bearish "Tweezers", but confirmation of this pattern is a quite weak. Therefore, the market is likely going to reach the upper "Window", which could be a departure point for a decline.
AUD/JPY REVERSED FROM SUPPORT AREA
19:42 16.08.2017
AUD/JPY reversed from support area
Next buy target - 88.00
AUD/JPY has been rising in the last few trading sessions – following the earlier upward reversal from support area lying between the strong support level 85.70 (which reversed earlier waves 4 and (ii), as can be seen from the daily AUD/JPY chart below), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward price impulse from the start of June. AUD/JPY is expected to rise to next buy target at the next resistance level 88.00 (target price for the completion of wave (2)).
CAD/JPY RISING INSIDE MINOR B-WAVE
19:43 16.08.2017
CAD/JPY rising inside minor B-wave
Next buy target - 89.00
CAD/JPY continues rise inside the minor B-wave which started earlier from the support zone lying between the support level 85.60, 50% Fibonacci retracement of the previous upward impulse (3) from the start of June and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The active B-wave belongs to the intermediate ABC correction (4) from the end of July. CAD/JPY is expected to rise to next buy target at the next resistance level 89.00 (target price for the termination of the active wave B).
SILVER (XAG/USD): LOOKING FORWARD TO RIDE A BULLISH WAVE
19:58 16.08.2017
Silver has been riding an overall bullish structure that it’s looking for a consolidation above the 200 SMA at H1 chart. According to our Fibonacci’s projections, the XAG/USD pair has made a rebound above a key demand zone between the 16.67 and 16.50 levels (50% - 65%) and it’s now pointing to test the 17.49 level, at which lies the -23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
To the downside, if Silver manages to break below 16.50, then it can plummet towards 16.35 (78.6%), which is the last hurdle before to invalidate the bullish bias. RSI indicator remains in the positive territory.
On the daily chart, GBP/USD reached 88.6% target of Shark pattern and reached the lower border of the uptrend channel. This increases the risks of correction towards 23.6%, 38.2% and 50% of the wave CD within the transformation of the “Shark” into 5-0.
On H1, GBP/USD formed a “Widening wedge” and a “Shark”. Correction movement towards 1.2940, 1.3005 and 1.3055 may be used for selling.
