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The price is still rising, but we're likely going to have a reversal pattern soon. If so, there'll be an opportunity to have a local downward correction. Nevertheless, bulls are going to deliver a new high afterwards.
We've got a bearish "Engulfing", but this pattern hasn't been confirmed yet. So, the pair is likely going to test the nearest support level, which could be a departure point for another upward price movement.
On the daily chart, USD/CHF formed a double bottom. The bar with the long lower wick strengthens the odds of the “Dragon” pattern. However, at the beginning bulls need to conquer resistance at 0.9650 (23.6% of the last long-term descending wave) and at 0.9765.
On H1, USD/CHF reached the targets of the “Widening wedge” pattern. The pair’s currently forming “Wolfe waves” pattern. A break of resistance at 0.9585 will be a signal for opening long positions.
On the daily chart, bulls are making jumbo efforts to return the pair inside the long-term bullish channel. Never the less, their inability to overcome resistance at 1.2962 (38.2% of the wave CD of the 5-0 pattern) and formation of pin bar points at buyers’ weakness.
On H1, the “Shark” pattern is transforming into 5-0. The pullbacks to 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% of the wave CD may be used for opening short positions.
There's a "V-Top" pattern, so the price reached the nearest support at 1.1959. However, bears are likely going to test the next support at 1.1909 - 1.1875. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement.
The 34 Moving Average has acted as support, but we've got a "Pennant" pattern. Therefore, bears are likely going to test the closest support at 1.1909 - 1.1892 soon. If we have a pullback from these levels, bulls will probably try to achieve resistance at 1.1975 - 1.2003.
GBP/USD: MARKET GOING TO TEST 34 MA
12:30 30.08.2017
All the Moving Averages have been broken, but there's a "V-Top" pattern, so the market is likely going to test the 34 MA. If a pullback from this line happens little later on, bulls will have a green light to catch the next resistance at 1.2959 - 1.2989.
Bears faced support at 1.2916, so the price is consolidating. Meanwhile, there's a "Flag", so the price is likely going to reach the 89 Moving Average in the short term.
EUR/USD: PULLBACK FROM 7/8 MM LEVEL
14:02 30.08.2017
There's a pullback from 7/8 MM Level, so wave [v] of 3 may have been formed. In this case, we could have a bearish impulse in wave [a]. The main intraday target is 5/8 MM Level.
We've got a downward impulse in wave (i), so bears are likely going to deliver wave (iii) during the day. If a pullback from 2/8 MM Level happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward correction.
The 89 Moving Average has acted as resistance, so we've got a "Shooting Star". If this pattern confirms, there'll be an opportunity to have a local decline. Anyway, bulls are likely going to deliver a new high afterwards.
There's a bearish "Harami", which has been confirmed. So, the pair is likely going to reach the 144 Moving Average soon. If any bullish pattern arrives afterwards, we should keep an eye on the upper "Window" as an intraday target
There's a bearish "Harami", which has been confirmed by the last "Three Methods" pattern. So, the market is likely going to continue moving down in the short term.
We've got a bullish "Harami" on the lower "Window". If this pattern confirms, we could have a local upward correction in the direction of the nearest resistance level.
Technical levels: support – 1.1850, 1.1815; resistance – 1.1920, 1.1960.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.1850; SL — 1.1830; TP1 — 1.1920; TP2 – 1.1960.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, but horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, narrowing channel of Tenkan-Kijun; the prices are breaking down the support of Kijun-sen and going to Cloud.
Technical levels: support – 1.2900; resistance – 1.2970, 1.3020.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.2920; SL — 1.2900; TP1 — 1.2970; TP2 — 1.3020.
Reason: narrowing bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with rising Kijun-sen; the Bulls are ready to continue local uptrend up to SSB-levels.