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Technical levels: support – 1.3770; resistance – 1.3870.
Trade recommendations:
Sell — 1.3860/70; SL — 1.3900; TP1 — 1.3770; TP2 — 1.3680.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a new dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are entered into negative area.
On the daily chart of XAU/USD, bulls manage to hold off an enemy attack at the $1,306-1,308.50 support. Another test of this area in case of success will increase the possibility of a pullback to $1273 and lower. The condition necessary for the uptrend’s resumption is a convincing break of resistance at $1350 an ounce.
On H1, much will depend on bulls’ ability to lead the pair outside of descending channel.
The 89 Moving Average has acted as support, so there's "Triple Bottom" pattern, which has been confirmed. The main intraday target is the next resistance at 1.2358 - 1.2384. If we have a pullback from this area, there'll be an opportunity to have another decline.
Bulls faced with resistance at 1.2334, so we should keep an eye on the 34 Moving Average as the next bearish target. This line could be a departure point for an upward price movement towards the nearest resistance at 1.2358 - 1.2384.
There's a "V-Bottom" pattern, so the price is consolidating. It's likely that the pair is going to reach the closest resistance at 1.3895 - 1.3944. If a pullback from these levels happens little later on, there'll be a moment to have a decline in the direction of the next support at 1.3741.
The price is consolidating near the 34 Moving Average. It seems like there's a developing "Flag" pattern. So, if a pullback from the nearest resistance at 1.3895 - 1.3944 happens, we could have a bearish price movement towards another support at 1.3795 - 1.3763.
The last "Harami" led to the current upward price movement, so there's no any reversal pattern so far. At the same time, there's an opportunity to have a bearish correction anytime soon.
All the Moving Averages have been broken, so the price is moving up. It's likely to have a local correction in the short term, but bulls are likely going to test the upper "Window" afterwards.
The nearest "Window", which acted as support, has been broken. Considering that there's no any reversal pattern, the price is likely going to continue declining.
The price has been declining since the last "Shooting Star" pattern arrived. If any bullish pattern forms in the coming hours, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward correction.
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Sell — 1.3880; SL — 1.3900; TP1 — 1.3770; TP2 — 1.3680.
Buy — 1.3920; SL — 1.3900; TP1 — 1.3990; TP2 — 1.4040.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A and B; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the prices are in the negative area and had returned to SSB’s resistance.
