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USD/JPY: DOLLAR REACHED NEW HIGHS
07:28 28.09.2017
Technical levels: support – 112.40; resistance – 113.40.
Trade recommendations:
Sell — 113.40; SL — 113.60; TP1 — 112.60; TP2 — 112.20.
Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; but the market is overbought and the prices under the strong daily resistance.
EUR/USD: PRICE GOING TO CONTINUE FALLING
09:05 28.09.2017
Bears faced with support at 1.1714, so the price is consolidating. However, the market is likely going to continue falling down towards the next support at 1.1688 - 1.1661. If a pullback from this area happens, we could have an upward price movement in the direction of the nearest resistance at 1.1793 - 1.1822.
The price is consolidating between the levels 1.1714 - 1.1772. The 34 Moving Average is likely going to act as resistance during the day. If a pullback from this line happens, we could have another decline towards the closest support at 1.1714 - 1.1688.
There's a downward "Wedge", so the market is likely going to decline towards the nearest support at 1.3328 - 1.3278. If a pullback from this area happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement in the direction of the closest resistance at 1.3444 - 1.3479
We've got a consolidation, which is taking place under the 34 Moving Average. Also, there's a "Pennant", so bears are likely going to decline towards the next support at 1.3328 - 1.3278. Meanwhile, if a pullback from these levels arrives afterwards, bulls will try to test the nearest resistance at 1.3374 - 1.3404.
There are bullish patterns such an "Inverted Hammer" and an "Engulfing", which both have been confirmed enough. So, we could have a local upward correction. If a pullback from the nearest resistance happens, bears will try to deliver a new local low.
We've got a bullish "Tweezers" pattern. Also, there's a "Three White Soldiers", so we should keep an eye on the 55 Moving Average as an intraday target. If a pullback from this line happens, there'll be an opportunity to have another decline.
We've got a bearish "Engulfing", but confirmation of this pattern is a quite weak. So, we could have just a local correction. In this case, bulls are likely going to break the last high once again.
There are a "Harami" and a "High Wave" patterns, which both have been formed at the local high. Therefore, the 55 Moving Average is likely going to act as support during the day.
EUR/USD: TWO PULLBACKS FROM 0/8 MM LEVEL
13:06 28.09.2017
Wave 4 may have been formed like a zigzag, cause there's a pullback from 0/8 MM Level. Therefore, we're likely going to have an upward impulse in wave 5 soon.
There are two pullbacks from 0/8 MM Level in a row, so the price is rising. It's likely that we've got developing wave [i]. If so, wave (iii) is going to move on in the short term.
Technical levels: support – 1.3310, 1.3380; resistance – 1. 3560.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 1.3400; SL — 1.3380; TP1 — 1.3510; TP2 — 1.3560.
Reason: narrow bullish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with the falling Kijun-sen; the prices are on the strong support inside a Cloud.
AUD/USD: AUSSIE REACHED MAIN SUPPORT
06:48 29.09.2017
Technical levels: support – 0.7800, 0.7830; resistance – 0.7880, 0.7900.
Trade recommendations:
Buy — 0.7840; SL — 0.7820; TP1 — 0.7880; TP2 — 0.7900.
Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are in the oversold area yet, but entered into the channel of Tenkan-Kijun and can grow to Kijun’s levels.
On the daily chart, EUR/USD keeps forming “Shark” pattern and “Head and Shoulders”. Further fate of the pair will depend on the test of the neckline. There’s an important resistance at 1.1860-1.1865.
On H1, EUR/USD is finishing “Widening wedge” pattern. A successful test of resistance at 1.1805 will trigger the “Dragon” pattern and increase the odds of growth towards 50%, 61.8% and 78,6% of the wave 4-5. The sellers will take it from there.
On the daily chart, EUR/GBP bulls are trying to hold at the lower border of the 0.8775-0.8900 consolidation range. If they fail, a formation of the “Shark” and “Shakeout-Fakeout” pattern will increase the risks of the pair’s advance above 0.9000.
On H1, EUR/GBP is in the final stage of the “Widening wedge”. A break of resistance at 0.8795 (23.6% of the wave 4-5) and 0.8810 will open the way to the upside. Selling the pair will become a good idea below support at 0.8755.
