EURUSD
The Euro holds above daily 10/20SMA’s bullish cross, which offers initial support, regaining positive tone after last Friday’s Doji and daily close below psychological 1.14 level. Near-term studies are positively aligned, ahead of today’s Eurogroup / Greece meeting. However prolonged consolidative phase to be expected while the price holds between 1.1378, MA’s cross and 1.1482, daily Kijun-sen, break of which to open key near-term barriers, correction highs at 1.1500/32 and signal resumption of corrective phase from 1.1096 low, on a break. Conversely, loss of 1.1378 handle, also Friday’s low, would weaken the structure and expose higher base at 1.1270 for test.
Res: 1.1440; 1.1470; 1.1500; 1.1532
Sup: 1.1400; 1.1378; 1.1340; 1.1300
GBPUSD
Near-term tone remains positive, as Cable moves above 1.54 handle, after Friday’s consolidative action that followed last Thursday’s strong rally and confirmed by Doji. Positive near-term studies and daily technicals establishing in bullish mode, favor further upside. The price penetrated daily cloud, base of which lies at 1.5366, together with broken daily 55SMA and offers solid support, expected to hold corrective dips. Initial target lies at 1.5460, Fibonacci 76.4% retracement of 1.5618/1.4950 downleg, ahead of psychological 1.55 barrier and more significant daily cloud top at 1.5535. Close above here to open key near-term barrier at 1.5618, 31 Dec 2014 lower top, reinforced by falling daily SMA.
Res: 1.5460; 1.5500; 1.5535; 1.5618
Sup: 1.5400; 1.5366; 1.5350; 1.5300
USDJPY
The pair remains under pressure in the near term, with renewed attempts at strong support at 118.30, last Friday’s low / 09/10Feb lows, reinforced by daily 20SMA, also near Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 116.86/120.46 rally. Negatively aligned near-term studies favor further downside, with close below pivotal 118.30 support, expected to accelerate pullback from fresh high at 120.46. On the other side, while 118.30 support contains, basing signal would keep alive fresh attempts higher, as positive tone of daily studies is still in play. Confirmation requires close above 119.00, daily cloud top and 119.18, last Friday’s high / Fibonacci 38.2% of 120.46/118.35 downleg, to shift near-term focus higher.
Res: 119.00; 119.18; 119.60; 120.00
Sup: 118.30; 118.15; 117.71; 117.15
AUDUSD
Near-term studies are positively aligned, after past two-day corrective action and positive closes, but attempts through last Friday’s high, are running out of steam, keeping pivotal 0.7847, daily 20SMA and 0.7874, 06 Feb lower top, intact for now. While upside attempts remain limited below these barriers, extended consolidative action is expected to precede fresh attacks at key supports at 0.7642/24, loss of which to confirm resumption of larger downtrend. Conversely, sustained break higher is required to confirm double-bottom formation and stronger bounce towards next barrier at 0.7958, sideways-moving daily Kijun-sen line.
Res: 0.7793; 0.7840; 0.7874; 0.7900
Sup: 0.7750; 0.7723; 0.7665; 0.7642